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Michael J. Sikorsky | Reports greatly exaggerated.

On startups, angel investing, software and hair products.

May 26th, 2009

Buying Money

“Your landlord doesn’t want your stock, Safeway doesn’t want your stock. They like cash.” -MJ

On 2009-02-04, MJ gave an hour-long presentation at CTI entitled, “Buying Money: Raising Financing when the Sky is Falling”.

This was deemed a more useful lecture than MJ’s “Raising Financing during a Bubble”, alternate lecture. Truly a great lecture, but kind of short and not really in demand right now.

This is the first MJ talk presented in video form. Do you find this presentation too long? Too short? Do you need it in an alternate format in order to digest it more conveniently? Please leave a comment so future presentations can be more easily consumed.

Thanks, -Gord (the videographer)

You need Flash player 8+ and JavaScript enabled to view this video, MJ’s BUYING MONEY lecture.

Click on a timecode to jump to a particular topic.

00:31 The goal: Sell your shares for cash.
01:20 Angels are getting out of the market.
02:35 Only those who get funded get talked about.
03:19 Business properties which ease raising capital.
06:26 VCs invest in you, not your business.
08:04 Be a cockroach. They live through anything.
09:38 Customer Development Model vs Product Development Model.
15:49 Right now is an OK time to launch a tech business.
17:12 Pre-money, post-money & one simple trick when asking for capital.
21:08 VCs almost never say “no” explicitly. Why would they?
22:49 Consider alternate means of raising capital.
25:12 Irrationally in investment decisions: Provide decision making tools.
28:32 Angels preferable to VCs. That’s why they’re called angels.
31:06 Some people get murdered on the way to work.
32:34 Do your homework on language of investors.
38:39 Seduced: Rationalization of investment decisions.

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May 16th, 2009

Lessons Learned from a Friend.

 friend of mine has just wrapped up her 1st startup.  She has asked to remain anonymous as she wants to share these lessons but she means no ill-will to the others involved.  [1]

Lessons Learned
Below are some of the lessons learned from my first startup experience. Most of them are probably misguided, inconsistent, or a product of my own inexperience. But I want to share them with you so that you can avoid some of the same mistakes.

1. Dont outsource product development.

If you cant yell across the room to your product development people, you are at a disadvantage. You simply won’t be able to iterate fast enough. Find someone who believes in the market enough to work beside you, then create a product together.

2. Define actionable, accessible, and auditable metrics for success.

Creating metrics that matter can be daunting (and depressing when you consistently fall short). But without them, you are vulnerable to long periods of ineffective development, misguided strategies, and lag time when iterating. Define actionable (can actually do it), accessible (can get the data easily) and auditable (can the data be trusted) (via Eric Ries)

3. Only enter into strategic partnerships, advisory agreements, or marketing partners if they can affect revenues within one month.

Signing on a strategic partnership with Microsoft won’t make you succeed. VC’s wont care, your customers wont care, and neither should you unless they immediately affect the spreadsheet numbers. Sure, there are proven metrics regarding social proof- but in the long term, people dont pay money for a partnership, they pay money for a product or service. Dont believe me? Steal the logos of Cisco, Google, and IBM and put them on your strategic partners page and measure the difference in sales volume.

4. Just because people invest in you, doesn’t mean your product matters or has a market.

“A fool and his money are soon parted” Substituting “a fool ” with “people” makes this idiom much more accurate. The only thing that will validate your product or service is your customers. Having money to invest doesn’t mean that they have expertise in your space, and it certainly doesn’t justify your product.

5. Stay on loop- Invent, Market Test, Create, Measure, Iterate.

Better minds have come up with better models for basically the same thing (see OODA loop ), but this is from my perspective. Invent an idea first. Thats the easy part. The most crucial mistake that I made again and again was skipping the market test phase and simply building a cool product. Its easy to create really cool stuff, but if no one wants them,  it doesn’t matter. After creating the initial product, find a way to measure it (see Lesson #2) and then start iterating to make it better.

6. Product development first, everything else, second.

I continually fall short on this. “We need better design”, ” A better outreach strategy”, ” Lets change that logo, and that color”. I love branding, but at the end of the day, Kiva didn’t have a great social media strategy and Google has a terrible logo .

7. Surround yourself with people that don’t agree with you.

Echo chambers are caustic. Ask the annoying people who you don’t like to try out your product. You probably don’t like them because they are not like you, which means they don’t think like you, which means they fill blind spots. This can be highly valuable. I cant even begin to list the times I have discounted someone’s opinion because I didn’t agree with them. That’s dangerous.

8. Create a structured environment with creative outlets (chaortic).

Dee Hock wrote the book on this topic (literally), so I wont go into too many details. But the gist of it is this- Humans need to have structure to get things done. But to truly allow people to excel consistently, structure is optimized when coupled with freedom and creative license. If you want a great example, watch this video of the most creative people on the planet.

9. Fail early, often
Cuban has a great insight on this . In business, you only have to be right once. Its not the same in school, sports or other pursuits. The same goes for product development. The more often you can create a product people don’t want, the sooner you can find out what they do want.

[1] It will probably take me another year or two before I can write mine up from #5.

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April 5th, 2009

PROCESS over GENIUS: most startups fail, but it doesn’t have to be that way…

he size and scope of Eric’s Startup #1 failure ($40M into /dev/null) gave him the necessary freedom to challenge his prior (but faulty) core assumptions to create Startup 2 (a massive success).

Please make sure to check out Slide 33 where Eric talks about “proportional investment”.

The biggest risk for your startup is building something people DON’T want.  So, taking the inverse: your startup has a straightforward task: build something people want.

If you build something people want, you win [1].  If you don’t, you lose.  And, the losing hurts in ways you didn’t know could hurt [2].

Q: How do you know what people want?
A: You don’t.

This is why so many startups fail: you can’t predict what people will want. [3]

You will have hunches, insights, passions, and a starting point but in the end your success will likely look much different than what you thought.

Flickr was supposed to be a online game.

PayPal was supposed to sell cryptography libraries.

(Read F@W for many more similar examples.)

Don Keough (former CEO of Coca Cola) spoke to why he sold Paramount Pictures.  The net of it:  he didn’t understand how to build a business around movies.  It was too “hit” driven.  Meaning, for reasons beyond their control (genius), some movies would do amazingly well, and some wouldn’t.  Compare this to selling cans of Coke (process).

Startups can feel like the movie business.  It can seem hits driven (a “yuppie bingo” model).  The key point is that they don’t have to be.  You don’t need to take so much risk with your time, your reputation and your investors capital. [4]

How you ask?

Deploy. Learn. Repeat.

If you can keep iterating and don’t run out of money (or morale) you win.

Movies can’t do this.

As Eric points out in his presentation, eventually IMVU was able to release their software 50 times per day (continuous deployment).  Think about the power of that: 50 times per day they can learn about what people want.

I liken this to flying.  You can fly a plane a night using the instruments (IFR).  But, if those instruments were only updated once per hour, you’d be dead.  It is the same with startups: the faster you can refresh your instrument panel, the faster you can iterate, the more likely you’ll build something people want, and end up giving speeches at Web2.0 :)

The deploy, learn, repeat is a PROCESS.  It isn’t about being a visionary, genius founder.  PROCESS over GENIUS is how you significantly increase your chances of building something people want.

I think Eric is going to have (is having) a transformative effect on the startup/hacker community.  But, I wanted to point out Mary Poppendieck.  I was lucky to spend time with Mary and take her course on ‘Lean Software Development’ a few years ago and I really credit her with championing on how lean manufacturing principles can be applied to software.  Lastly, if this is all resonating with you, you’ll want to buy 4 Steps to Epiphany by Steven Gary Blank.

[1] Once you’ve built something people want, you’re called a company :)  Once you’re a company you’ll call this stuff ‘innovation’.

[2] I know I can’t talk about this… yet.

[3] This is why all those other proxies for success are used by investors.  Team, etc.

[4] Yes, I’m aware of the irony.

** You can follow Eric on twitter here: http://twitter.com/ericries  (I’m here).

** Audio is thanks to the guys at VentureHacks.

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March 21st, 2009

For the contrarian and the courageous: you’re invited to a (short) evening of pitches :)

ou’re invited to come hear pitches from my Top 3 startup school graduates from 2008.

When: March 24, 2009 @ 5:30pm (dinner will served)
Where: Downtown - send me an email to find out where: killingmichael@gmail.com
Who: People who are thinking about or who are angel investors.

#1: All pitches are screened (read: they do not suck).
#2: All pitches will be short.

Not sure if you should come? Just drop by. No company is worse off by having a chance to tell its story :)

If you can’t RSVP ahead of time, please do still drop by… we will order more food and take what’s left over to the mustard seed!

Thanks,

MJ

p.s. Times are tough so any support we can muster up for these entrepreneurs would be amazing.  Paul Graham has stepped up his early stage investing activities and Warren Buffet has been quoted as feeling like a “Mosquito at a nudist colony”.  These are two amazing investors still investing, so we’re hoping there is still support for the entrepreneurs in Calgary :)

p.p.s. My next Startup School is April 25, 26. If you know of anyone interested please have them check it out.

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March 18th, 2009

Building and Developing an A++ Team By Frank Addante

reat presentation by Frank Addante. Frank is currently working on his 6th startup (the rubicon project and has just taken over microsoft as the 3rd largest advertiser on the interent).

He has had 2 acquisitions, 1 ipo and 1 failure. What he has to say regarding people and building a great team hits close to home for me. Team building is an area I’m actively trying to improve in and found Frank’s tips to succinct, insightful and truthy.  (Thanks to Dave Edmond’s for the link)

Note: for those who liked this video, you can follow Frank on Twitter or read his blog.

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November 23rd, 2008

Good business: Against those against the beta culture.

eading Jesus Diaz’s ‘A Call for Revolution Against a Beta Culture‘ today I thought:

#1: You’re going to need a catchier less awkward title in order to start a revolution.

#2: I heart the beta culture.

Even though I hate when things don’t work and hate over-paying for products when they first come out, why am I so pro beta culture, well, because:

A) Instrument Flight Rules.

As a startup junkie, I’m consumed with product creation. And, the products from scratch business is one full of scary assumptions. The scariest: your product is assumed to have value. If you end up building something people don’t want you just created yourself a warehouse full of past-due inventory.

Obviously, the goal is create something (a lot of) people want. But, how do you do this? How do you know you’re not wasting your time and dollars on making something that just isn’t needed? The answer: data. You need data. Product data, customer data, etc. Data, data, data.

As product creators we need feedback - implicit and explicit. And, it is much better to get this data in the wild. (The hard part for creators is the judgment on what the minimum marketable set for your product is before releasing it - perhaps a future blog post?).

Pilots have both Instrument and Visual Flight Rules. Instrument flight rules (IFR) are for when navigation is maintained by aircraft instruments only. Essentially, the Pilot can fly even though he can’t see anything outside the cockpit windows. How long would our pilot last if those instruments failed or if they took a calendar quarter to update? Yep. Not long at all. Same is true for founders of startups. In the beginning we’re all flying by IFR. The faster our instrument panels update the more likely we’re going survive.

B) Reid Hoffman and Eric Ries say so.

Reid Hoffman (founder of LinkedIn; investor in facebook, flickr, etc) famously said “If you’re not embarrassed by the first version of your product, you’ve launched too late”.

It is hard for product creators to release software they’re embarrassed by. But we need to, we need to see if anyone cares and hopefully *why* they care.

N.B. For any founders out there looking to constantly steer their products to success, I recommend reading Eric Ries’ blog (get started here). Eric is responsible for my biggest aha moment of 2008.

C) The declining cost of communications and technology.

Hardware, software, and communicating keeps getting cheaper. The trend towards a “beta culture” will strengthen not weaken. I suspect this is only the beginning.

Michael

p.s. AD: Interested in getting on our beta list for http://beta.gwabs.com - send me an email.

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September 22nd, 2008

Thank you KPMG and BackBone for selecting us #4 best Web2.0 company across Canada.

ear KPMG and Backbone Magazine,

Thanks for selecting us as the #4 best Web2.0 company and inviting us to speak at the PICK20 awards reception. Much appreciated!

Thanks,

Michael

p.s. For those not in attendance: the PICK20 awards we’re held in a room modeled after the UN.

p.p.s. Thanks to Jonathan Kallner from KPMG for the warm welcome and to Peter Wolchak from Backbone for moderating the panel consisting of Leonard from NowPublic, Kate from LintBucket, Bernie from ConceptShare and yours truly.

pick20 award

pick20 award show


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September 14th, 2008

SECOND POST.

o understand why there is a gap (read: resistance) of more than a year between my first post and my second post I offer you this:

Share/Save/Bookmark

August 24th, 2007

First Post.

or my first post, I offer you this: .

Yours,

Michael

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